Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Radford Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | +2.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Radford Highlanders +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Grant | 32 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| J. Wolf | 32 | 1-10 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3 | - |
| C. Tomko | 28 | 3-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Rendleman | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| M. Downey | 21 | 7-16 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 10 | - |
| D. Jeralds | 16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Deloach | 14 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| W. Ohuaregbe | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| D. Lacy | 11 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| D. Mercer | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Radford Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 37 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Parakhouski | 35 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Brandon Smith | 33 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| L. Trifunovic | 29 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| P. Martin | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Lynch-Flohr | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| E. Faulkner | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Wilder | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Robinson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Sonmez | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter