Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +10 (75-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Davis | 40 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 17 | - |
| D. McCamey | 40 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | - |
| D.J. Richardson | 36 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| B. Cole | 22 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. Paul | 18 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| D. Keller | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Jordan | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Griffey | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hummel | 38 | 4-13 | 2-3 | 12-12 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 25 | - |
| J. Johnson | 35 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Kramer | 33 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| E. Moore | 28 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| K. Grant | 24 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| L. Jackson | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Hart | 7 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Barlow | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| P. Bade | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter