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2010-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 98.2% 1.8% -
Bradley-Terry 90.9% 9.1% -
Margin 95.5% 4.5% -16.8 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 70.8% 29.2% -
Efficiency 92.4% 7.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.1% 4.9% -
Log Adjusted 95.1% 4.9% -

Actual: Pepperdine Waves -18 (54-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bouldin 36 7-11 4-8 0-0 3 5 0 1 2 18 14 -
D. Goodson 31 1-5 0-1 3-4 5 3 1 0 0 5 9 -
S. Gray 26 4-9 2-5 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 12 8 -
R. Sacre 25 4-8 0-0 4-5 4 0 0 6 4 12 10 -
E. Harris 24 5-6 1-2 2-5 6 2 0 1 0 13 16 -
W. Foster 15 2-3 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 3 1 4 7 -
M. Arop 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
K. Olynyk 12 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
G. Gibbs 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Kong 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
G.J. Vilarino 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Thompson 35 3-16 2-8 3-4 5 2 1 0 0 11 3 -
K. Bell 32 5-15 1-3 6-8 10 1 0 1 3 17 11 -
L. Jackson 24 0-7 0-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 0 -4 -
J. Dupre' 21 3-9 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
T. Darby 19 1-2 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
C. Moore 19 4-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 8 8 -
J. Lowery 16 1-4 1-2 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
D. Agre 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
C. Willis 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -4 -
T. Kerry 7 0-4 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter