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2010-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Eastern Washington Eagles Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 72.4% 27.6% -
Bradley-Terry 56.8% 43.2% -
Margin 56.1% 43.9% -1.4 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% -
Efficiency 65.2% 34.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.9% 49.1% -
Log Adjusted 50.1% 49.9% -

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +3 (74-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Forbes 41 4-8 2-5 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 10 8 -
G. Dean 37 3-8 1-3 6-6 3 6 1 0 6 13 9 -
B. Moore 34 5-12 0-0 3-6 12 0 1 2 0 13 16 -
G. Gibson 25 1-2 0-0 3-4 2 0 1 0 1 5 5 -
M. Dunn 24 2-7 0-4 0-0 7 2 1 0 1 4 6 -
B. Valentine 21 4-7 2-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 10 7 -
L. Griffin 21 3-6 0-0 0-3 5 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
M. Brunell 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
K. Winford 8 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
A. Gibbs 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jones 44 9-16 2-3 3-6 3 3 1 0 1 23 13 -
G. Rogers 40 6-13 4-11 2-2 1 3 1 0 1 18 9 -
J. Olubuyi 34 2-6 0-0 2-2 1 10 1 0 2 6 10 -
S. Johannsen 33 5-6 0-0 4-8 13 0 0 1 2 14 20 -
N. Larson 29 3-8 2-4 0-0 8 0 2 2 1 8 11 -
R. Wallace 13 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -
J. Lepley 12 1-3 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
S. Saldivar 12 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 2 1 0 1 1 3 -
D. Jones 8 0-3 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 1 -2 -

* = starter