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2010-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 54.3% 45.7% -
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% -
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 (27.5 off)
Pythagorean 33.7% 66.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.2% 89.8% -
Log Adjusted 9.9% 90.1% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +31 (70-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Green 34 2-7 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 6 -1 -
T. Franklin 27 0-3 0-0 1-4 3 0 1 3 2 1 3 -
A. Ogide 23 2-7 0-0 4-4 12 1 0 0 1 8 13 -
A. Nigon 21 2-7 1-3 1-1 3 0 1 0 1 6 2 -
G. Smith 19 1-7 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 3 -3 -
T. Busch 15 1-5 0-0 3-4 0 1 0 0 0 5 1 -
A. McFarland 14 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
H. Perry 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
P. Hornung 13 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 0 -1 -
M. Annese 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
M. Bocar Ba 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 4 -
A. Dunn 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Delbene 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Willis 27 2-6 1-3 6-6 3 3 1 0 2 11 10 -
A. Marshall 26 5-5 0-0 2-2 10 0 1 0 1 12 17 -
B. Massamba 25 2-3 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 5 1 7 12 -
K. Wallace 23 4-8 3-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 11 5 -
C. Stanback 23 4-9 3-3 1-2 3 0 0 2 0 12 8 -
O. Bellfield 22 3-5 1-2 2-2 3 4 0 0 2 9 9 -
J. Hawkins 19 2-7 0-1 1-2 3 2 2 0 1 5 4 -
S. Jones Jr. 14 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 1 2 -
D. Santee 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 2 4 -
T. Hanni 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Martinez 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
T. Norman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

* = starter