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2010-02-20

Model Predictions

Model South Carolina State Bulldogs Georgia State Panthers Spread Result
Elo 29.9% 70.1% +4.9 โœ“ (10.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% - โœ—
Margin 19.4% 80.6% +7.8 โœ“ (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 18.3% 81.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 17.8% 82.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“

Actual: Georgia State Panthers +15 (67-52). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

South Carolina State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Toombs 31 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 3 2 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Flagler 28 4-9 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 1 1 8 1 -
C. Bennett 28 4-10 1-4 1-2 5 3 0 0 2 10 6 -
D. Porter 25 0-4 0-2 3-4 2 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
Joseph Wright 20 2-5 0-0 3-3 4 0 1 0 1 7 6 -
B. Smalls 20 4-5 2-3 4-4 1 0 0 0 1 14 9 -
Arsenio Williams 19 1-2 0-0 6-8 5 2 0 0 3 8 10 -
Tyvon Williams 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 0 -4 -
R. Pitt 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
W. Telafare 7 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -4 -
J. Maxey 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Georgia State Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dukes 33 4-6 0-0 2-2 3 6 4 0 3 10 14 -
T. Goldston 27 5-14 3-8 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 13 3 -
T. Hampton 27 4-7 0-1 6-6 7 0 1 1 1 14 15 -
O. Krubally 26 5-8 0-0 2-4 8 0 0 1 4 12 9 -
J. Ali 24 3-8 1-3 2-2 3 2 0 1 1 9 6 -
Marques Johnson 21 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 2 3 -
J. Fields 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 2 0 -
K. Lott 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
J. Vincent 8 2-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 1 0 5 5 -

* = starter