Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +5 (89-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lawson | 48 | 6-22 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Tina Charles | 46 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 45 | 3-17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -6 | - |
| D. Walker | 42 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | - |
| T. White | 33 | 5-17 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 27 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Griffin | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| A. Hightower | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Gardin | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 44 | 5-23 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 42 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| J. McCarville | 37 | 6-18 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| K. Greene | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| E. Carson | 28 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Spencer | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. Phillips | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Houts | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Larkins | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter