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2010-02-20

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 48.2% 51.8% -
Bradley-Terry 57.2% 42.8% -
Margin 53.4% 46.6% -0.8 (29.8 off)
Pythagorean 28.2% 71.8% -
Efficiency 3.1% 96.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.7% 96.3% -
Log Adjusted 3.6% 96.4% -

Actual: Washington Huskies +29 (97-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Roll 34 3-10 0-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 6 -1 -
M. Lee 32 1-9 0-3 7-9 5 1 1 0 4 9 3 -
T. Honeycutt 29 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 4 1 0 4 4 4 -
R. Nelson 27 5-7 0-0 4-9 3 1 1 0 1 14 11 -
N. Dragovic 22 4-9 1-4 4-5 3 0 0 0 1 13 6 -
J. Anderson 21 4-6 1-2 0-0 1 4 0 1 3 9 6 -
B. Lane 18 5-6 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 11 10 -
J. Morgan 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 3 -
M. Moser 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
M. Abdul-Hamid 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Pondexter 30 7-11 2-4 4-4 3 3 2 0 1 20 16 -
I. Thomas 29 7-14 3-8 0-0 6 3 1 0 1 17 12 -
A. Gaddy 25 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 6 0 -2 -
J. Holiday 24 5-8 1-1 0-0 7 5 1 0 0 11 16 -
V. Overton 23 3-5 0-1 1-1 0 2 2 0 2 7 4 -
M. Bryan-Amaning 21 5-6 0-0 2-4 5 1 3 0 1 12 14 -
S. Suggs 14 3-4 3-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 9 9 -
D. Gant 13 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
E. Turner Jr. 10 2-3 2-3 3-5 2 0 0 0 1 9 7 -
T. Breshers 6 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
C. Trent 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
B. Sherrer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter