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2010-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 28.1% 71.9% -
Bradley-Terry 65.4% 34.6% -
Margin 63.4% 36.6% -3.0 (26.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% -
Efficiency 10.3% 89.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% -
Log Adjusted 29.8% 70.2% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers +23 (72-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Zeglinski 35 5-12 1-5 0-0 8 2 1 0 2 11 8 -
S. Landesberg 34 6-14 1-1 0-0 6 3 0 0 3 13 5 -
J. Evans 26 1-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 3 0 1 3 2 -
M. Scott 25 7-14 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 14 5 -
J. Jones 17 1-5 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 1 -
A. Sene 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Meyinsse 16 1-2 0-0 2-3 4 0 1 0 0 4 7 -
M. Farrakhan 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -3 -
W. Sherrill 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
T. Spurlock 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Baker 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Potter 26 2-7 2-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 6 4 -
T. Booker 25 5-9 0-0 4-4 8 2 1 1 2 14 15 -
J. Grant 24 8-9 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 4 1 18 18 -
T. Smith 23 0-3 0-2 3-4 3 5 0 0 1 3 7 -
D. Stitt 23 2-3 0-1 1-1 3 4 0 0 3 5 6 -
A. Young 22 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 8 5 -
N. Johnson 19 1-6 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 3 1 -
M. Jennings 15 4-4 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 11 8 -
D. Booker 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Hill 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
C. Baciu 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Narcisse 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Anderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter