Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +17 (87-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. McPherson | 35 | 7-12 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| C. Johnson | 32 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| H. Little | 30 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| M. Kenney | 29 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| B. Wood | 27 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| M. Rogers | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Broekhoff | 14 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| M. Milosevic | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Kurth | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Witt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Thomas | 40 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| J. Jakubowski | 38 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 8-8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| D. Brown | 34 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| M. Larson | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| E. Marschall | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 13 | - |
| O. Polk | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. McElroy | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Kraus | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Crawford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Erger | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter