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2010-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 38.5% 61.5% -
Bradley-Terry 17.3% 82.7% -
Margin 7.6% 92.4% +13.7 (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 11.7% 88.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Princeton Tigers -3 (54-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Sullivan 38 5-8 1-3 2-2 4 2 0 0 3 13 8 -
T. Halpern 36 6-8 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 12 7 -
M. Mullery 34 4-6 0-0 7-7 8 1 0 0 8 15 10 -
G. Leffelman 29 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 1 2 6 7 -
M. Sullivan 26 2-4 0-1 1-2 2 2 1 0 0 5 6 -
S. Gruber 14 0-2 0-0 6-6 0 1 0 0 2 6 3 -
A. Williams 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
C. Taylor 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. McCarthy 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Davis 36 2-8 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 6 -1 -
D. Mavraides 34 3-9 2-8 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 8 1 -
M. Schroeder 32 7-16 2-9 1-1 0 1 3 0 1 17 4 -
K. Maddox 29 4-7 0-1 1-1 8 0 1 0 2 9 9 -
I. Hummer 21 2-3 0-0 1-3 2 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
Z. Finley 21 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 2 1 0 1 5 7 -
P. Buczak 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 2 3 -
P. Saunders 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
W. Barrett 2 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
N. Lake 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter