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2010-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 12.5% 87.5% - โœ“
Margin 4.4% 95.6% +16.9 โœ“ (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 24.3% 75.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.6% 98.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.5% 98.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.8% 81.2% - โœ“

Actual: Harvard Crimson +20 (77-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Agho 36 5-13 2-3 6-8 2 2 1 0 0 18 10 -
N. Scott 30 4-8 1-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 3 11 3 -
K. Bulger 25 1-6 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 4 2 -2 -
B. Barbour 20 2-5 0-2 2-2 5 3 0 0 1 6 8 -
J. Daniels 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
A. Ampim 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 4 6 -
M. Cisco 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
B. Grimes 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 2 0 -
M. Craig 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
M. Johnson 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
S. Egee 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Z. Crimmins 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Staab 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Crockett 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lin 32 3-7 1-3 4-6 6 5 0 0 4 11 11 -
D. Miller 29 2-8 0-0 2-3 3 0 1 1 0 6 3 -
B. Curry 28 3-6 1-2 0-1 6 5 2 1 1 7 14 -
O. McNally 25 8-10 5-7 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 23 18 -
M. Kenyi 23 1-2 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 1 2 3 3 -
D. Giger 22 3-6 2-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 10 5 -
C. Webster 21 3-8 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 7 -1 -
K. Casey 19 2-3 0-1 6-6 7 2 1 1 2 10 16 -
S. de Mars 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter