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2010-02-20

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 82.5% 17.5% -
Bradley-Terry 74.4% 25.6% -
Margin 80.1% 19.9% -7.7 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% -
Efficiency 94.6% 5.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.6% 49.4% -
Log Adjusted 50.5% 49.5% -

Actual: Boston College Eagles +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thompson 35 6-16 0-0 5-7 9 0 0 2 0 17 12 -
M. Ginyard 33 4-8 0-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 0 10 8 -
L. Drew II 28 3-7 0-1 1-1 1 2 0 0 2 7 1 -
J. Henson 27 5-10 0-0 1-4 7 1 1 1 4 11 7 -
W. Graves 26 2-6 1-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 5 2 -
D. Strickland 22 2-3 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
T. Zeller 16 2-9 0-0 5-8 7 0 0 2 2 9 7 -
D. Wear 8 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
L. McDonald 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Trapani 34 3-11 1-6 1-2 9 2 2 0 2 8 8 -
C. Raji 31 7-17 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 16 5 -
R. Jackson 30 5-12 1-3 6-7 7 7 0 0 1 17 18 -
R. Sanders 29 5-11 2-4 2-2 6 3 0 0 1 14 11 -
E. Ravenel 17 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 8 7 -
C. Dunn 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 -
B. Paris 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 3 6 -
T. Roche 11 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
D. Elmore 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Southern 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter