Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +1.2 | ✗ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -1 (59-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Varnado | 37 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| D. Bost | 36 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 14 | - |
| B. Stewart | 35 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| R. Johnson | 26 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| K. Augustus | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. Turner | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Osby | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Benock | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mitchell | 40 | 9-20 | 4-5 | 3-5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| B. Spencer | 40 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Warren | 31 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| C. Bass | 28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| D. Harris | 22 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Z. Kinsley | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| G. Green | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Populist | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter