Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.0% | 87.0% | +10.4 | ✗ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -8 (74-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lowenthal | 37 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | - |
| J. Harden | 35 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 19 | - |
| D. Calegari | 33 | 10-20 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 12 | - |
| R. Sypkens | 26 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| R. Howley | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Floyd | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Welch | 14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Malik | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Ranger | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 34 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| R. Arnold | 34 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| D. Montreal | 33 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| L. Anderson | 28 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| P. Noonan | 24 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| I. Okoye | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Cunningham | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Z. Moritz | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Salzwedel | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter