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2010-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 27.1% 72.9% -
Bradley-Terry 52.8% 47.2% -
Margin 47.3% 52.7% +0.6 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -
Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.2% 37.8% -
Log Adjusted 62.2% 37.8% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +9 (92-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Fortson 36 5-15 1-6 5-7 6 5 3 0 6 16 9 -
R. Clarke 35 6-11 4-9 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 16 9 -
M. Powell 31 10-16 0-1 3-3 7 3 3 0 5 23 15 -
M. Washington 27 3-7 0-0 3-5 5 1 2 1 1 9 10 -
M. Britt 20 2-3 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 4 7 -
J. Nobles 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -
D. Johnson 13 5-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 10 6 -
S. Welsh 11 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 5 1 -
J. Farmer 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Cox 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Bryant 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Sullivan 37 3-5 1-3 4-4 0 1 2 0 3 11 6 -
L. Hargrove 36 4-9 1-3 4-4 8 5 0 0 2 13 15 -
T. Waller 33 10-15 7-10 2-3 4 1 2 0 0 29 21 -
B. Knox 26 4-5 0-0 4-8 7 1 1 3 4 12 15 -
D. Reed 25 5-7 1-1 6-6 2 4 2 0 4 17 14 -
J. Wallace 13 0-1 0-1 2-4 1 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
J. Lett 9 0-0 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 -
E. Ross 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
T. Armstrong 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
K. Gabriel 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
A. Malone 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Neysmith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Williams 1 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter