Model Predictions
| Model | China | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.5% | 99.5% | +29.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +28 (106-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
China
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Zengyu | 35 | 6-13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| H. Hongpin | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| G. Xin | 25 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| S. Liwei | 21 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Y. Banban | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Z. Fan | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Yuan | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| G. Song | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Z. Wei | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Xiaojis | 11 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 25 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| T. Lilley | 23 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| T. Johnson | 21 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| T. Smith | 21 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| N. Stevenson | 20 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| B. Smith | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| K. Swanier | 19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Bonner | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| S. Holmes | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| L. Williams | 16 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
* = starter