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2010-05-05

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 46.0% 54.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.7% 56.3% - โœ“
Margin 38.6% 61.4% +2.6 โœ“ (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 46.0% 54.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Mystics +5 (65-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Carson 29 1-9 0-2 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 4 0 -
Leilani Mitchell 28 2-6 2-6 0-0 0 4 4 0 0 6 8 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 24 4-12 1-3 3-4 11 0 2 1 1 12 13 -
T. Jackson-Jones 23 2-5 0-0 6-7 6 4 0 2 3 10 14 -
K. Greene 23 5-11 1-2 0-0 0 2 2 0 1 11 3 -
A. Phillips 21 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
Kia Vaughn 17 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
T. James 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 2 -1 -
A. Houts 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 0 0 -
C. Montgomery 12 1-5 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 4 0 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Currie 24 1-4 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
N. Sanford 23 4-10 0-0 3-6 8 0 1 1 3 11 8 -
K. Smith 21 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 5 1 -
M. Coleman 21 6-9 2-3 1-1 5 0 1 0 3 15 9 -
J. Lacy 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 2 3 -
L. Harding 19 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 6 9 -
N. Blue 16 3-5 1-1 3-3 1 1 0 0 2 10 5 -
L. Atkinson 14 0-0 0-0 2-4 4 2 0 2 4 2 6 -
K. Mann 13 5-7 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 10 4 -
S. Dowdell 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 -
L. Ervin 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
E. Kobryn 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Gray-Lawson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter