Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.5% | 52.5% | +0.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +7 (86-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lehning | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Herrington | 27 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 26 | 7-16 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| B. Raven | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| A. Bales | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Ardossi | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. White | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Goff | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Miller | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| C. Mokango | 15 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 31 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 31 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Walker | 29 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| K. Lawson | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Gardin | 21 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Griffin | 20 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| A. Hightower | 16 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| T. White | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Kotsopoulos | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Lomax | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| P. Love | 8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| K. Sowinski | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Klein | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Brooks | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
* = starter