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2010-05-02

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 11.4% 88.6% -
Bradley-Terry 14.1% 85.9% -
Margin 16.4% 83.6% +9.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 37.1% 62.9% -

Actual: Seattle Storm +19 (77-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Stevenson 33 1-6 1-4 1-4 1 2 0 0 2 4 -1 -
A. Paris 30 1-2 0-0 0-2 9 1 1 1 1 2 11 -
B. Smith 27 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 1 2 6 9 -
T. Grant 27 4-12 1-6 3-3 3 0 0 0 3 12 0 -
L. Williams 25 7-17 5-12 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 19 6 -
S. Holmes 25 2-9 0-1 5-8 8 1 1 1 2 9 9 -
K. Swanier 19 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 6 1 -4 -
C. Dupree 13 2-3 0-1 1-3 6 0 1 0 2 5 7 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Lacey 27 2-10 1-5 1-1 5 5 2 0 3 6 5 -
A. Robinson 27 3-5 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
A. Walker 26 6-9 2-3 3-3 6 1 1 1 1 17 16 -
A. Parham 23 4-8 1-2 6-6 3 2 4 0 1 15 15 -
L. Kurz 20 2-5 1-2 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 5 6 -
C. Little 18 5-8 0-0 2-4 3 2 2 0 0 12 11 -
L. Moore 18 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 3 2 0 3 2 1 -
D. Hampton 16 2-7 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
L. Wilson 14 1-3 1-2 4-4 0 0 1 0 0 7 5 -
H. Bowman 12 0-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -2 -

* = starter