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2010-02-19

Model Predictions

Model William & Mary Tribe Iona Gaels Spread Result
Elo 48.4% 51.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 51.1% 48.9% - โœ—
Margin 41.0% 59.0% +2.0 โœ“ (14.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 46.2% 53.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.1% 54.9% - โœ“

Actual: Iona Gaels +16 (69-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

William & Mary Tribe

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. McDowell 34 3-4 0-1 5-8 3 0 1 0 2 11 9 -
D. Sumner 33 4-12 1-5 1-2 4 2 1 1 0 10 6 -
D. Schneider 33 5-14 4-10 3-6 5 2 1 0 1 17 10 -
S. McCurdy 27 1-5 0-1 0-1 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 -
M. Kitts 20 1-1 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 3 3 6 -
K. Gaillard 17 1-3 1-2 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 5 7 -
M. Rum 15 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
J. Ludwick 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Hess 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
K. Brown 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -4 -
A. Pavloff 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Howard II 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Iona Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Prodanovic 24 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
S. Machado 23 6-11 3-6 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 17 10 -
J. Jenkins 23 3-6 1-2 2-4 4 1 1 0 1 9 8 -
K. Smyth 22 0-4 0-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 0 2 -
J. Huffman 21 4-6 3-4 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 12 6 -
T. Fields 14 0-0 0-0 6-8 2 0 1 0 0 6 9 -
M. McFadden 8 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 -
B. Mockford 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. McGill 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Pelcher 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Keshawn Williams 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Nelson 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter