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2010-02-18

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 61.5% 38.5% -
Bradley-Terry 45.3% 54.7% -
Margin 35.1% 64.9% +3.4 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 40.2% 59.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.5% 90.5% -
Log Adjusted 9.5% 90.5% -

Actual: Washington Huskies -3 (64-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lewis 38 9-16 0-2 4-4 4 0 2 1 2 22 11 -
M. Gerrity 37 5-11 0-1 2-2 1 3 1 0 3 12 3 -
N. Vucevic 34 5-9 1-2 2-2 10 2 0 0 2 13 14 -
M. Johnson 30 4-11 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 4 10 -1 -
L. Washington 29 3-5 0-0 2-4 8 0 1 0 2 8 10 -
D. Smith 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Simmons 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Stepheson 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Pondexter 36 6-13 1-3 5-6 7 0 0 0 1 18 11 -
M. Bryan-Amaning 34 6-7 0-0 2-4 7 0 2 1 2 14 15 -
J. Holiday 33 2-5 0-0 2-2 2 3 2 0 5 6 3 -
I. Thomas 26 2-5 1-3 0-2 1 4 0 0 3 5 2 -
V. Overton 22 3-7 1-1 1-2 4 3 0 0 2 8 6 -
E. Turner Jr. 17 2-6 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 6 6 -
A. Gaddy 16 3-9 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 6 0 -
D. Gant 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
S. Suggs 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
T. Breshers 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter