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2010-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Pennsylvania Quakers Spread Result
Elo 43.8% 56.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 54.1% 45.9% - โœ“
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 โœ— (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 59.3% 40.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 60.7% 39.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 60.9% 39.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.5% 50.5% - โœ—

Actual: Pennsylvania Quakers -7 (73-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Leffelman 36 5-13 3-9 5-6 4 5 0 0 1 18 13 -
M. Sullivan 35 1-5 1-2 2-2 4 2 0 0 4 5 2 -
M. Mullery 35 9-12 0-1 4-6 11 2 1 3 2 22 25 -
P. Sullivan 34 5-9 2-4 6-8 4 2 2 0 3 18 14 -
T. Halpern 34 3-4 2-2 3-4 3 3 1 3 0 11 17 -
A. Williams 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 0 -2 -
A. McCarthy 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
C. Taylor 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
S. Gruber 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Rosen 40 9-17 5-9 6-8 3 10 5 0 3 29 27 -
J. Eggleston 39 7-14 2-2 0-0 9 3 0 2 1 16 15 -
R. Belcore 39 2-7 1-4 1-2 4 3 1 1 1 6 7 -
D. Monckton 19 4-8 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 8 6 -
D. Smith 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Reilly 11 1-7 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -5 -
Z. Gordon 10 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
B. Fitzpatrick 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
D. Godwin 8 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
M. Howlett 5 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
T. Eggleston 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Washington 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter