Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.5% | 69.5% | +4.5 | ✗ (25.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves -21 (62-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Stohl | 32 | 6-12 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| T.J. Campbell | 32 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| K. Knutson | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| L. Sikma | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 22 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| N. Mitrovic | 21 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Ito | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| E. Waterford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Mivshek | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bell | 34 | 9-21 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| M. Thompson | 28 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| T. Darby | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| L. Jackson | 26 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Dupre' | 26 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Willis | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Moore | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Lowery | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Agre | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| T. Kerry | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Branning | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter