Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | +3.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Keeler | 36 | 9-19 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 5 | - |
| C. Anderson | 33 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| S. Lewis | 28 | 3-14 | 0-1 | 8-11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| D. Hanson | 27 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Odister | 23 | 2-10 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| R. Darling | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| J. Lewis | 19 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| W. Taylor | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Royer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hill | 32 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Daniels | 30 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 10-11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| L. Daniel | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| W. Galick | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| T. Taylor | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Cody | 18 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Osunsanmi | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| V. McGhee | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Lyles | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Lizarraga | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Menner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter