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2010-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Eastern Washington Eagles Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 44.3% 55.7% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 30.1% 69.9% +4.6 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 20.8% 79.2% -
Efficiency 16.8% 83.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% -
Log Adjusted 4.2% 95.8% -

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +4 (58-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Forbes 37 5-12 3-8 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 15 6 -
G. Dean 30 2-9 2-4 2-2 1 6 0 0 4 8 2 -
M. Dunn 28 1-6 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
B. Valentine 22 2-6 2-5 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 6 4 -
G. Gibson 22 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 1 -
L. Griffin 21 3-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 2 1 7 11 -
B. Moore 18 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 2 2 0 6 11 -
M. Brunell 12 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 2 1 6 8 -
K. Winford 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -1 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Figures 38 6-11 4-6 7-8 7 3 1 0 3 23 20 -
M. Proctor 31 4-7 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 1 2 11 6 -
C. Kaba 29 4-8 3-5 3-3 8 0 2 0 1 14 15 -
N. Kingman 28 1-7 0-3 4-4 2 1 1 2 2 6 3 -
Y. Bonner 24 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
E. Lloyd 23 0-4 0-3 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 1 -1 -
T. Montgomery 21 0-3 0-0 3-7 6 1 0 2 0 3 9 -
C. Osborne 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
D. Arnold 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
H. Brereton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter