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2010-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Ole Miss Rebels Spread Result
Elo 47.3% 52.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.7% 49.3% - โœ“
Margin 44.7% 55.3% +1.2 โœ— (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 53.8% 46.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 54.1% 45.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.2% 52.8% - โœ—

Actual: Ole Miss Rebels -4 (78-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Beal 36 2-9 1-4 9-10 1 2 1 0 3 14 6 -
A.J. Ogilvy 33 8-10 0-0 11-13 8 0 1 0 3 27 23 -
J. Taylor 30 8-11 0-0 3-5 6 4 0 1 2 19 17 -
B. Tinsley 24 3-8 2-5 0-0 5 7 0 0 3 8 9 -
S. Tchiengang 24 0-3 0-0 0-2 6 2 0 0 1 0 4 -
J. Jenkins 23 3-7 1-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 8 2 -
L. Goulbourne 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
A. Walker 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
F. Ezeli 7 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 4 6 -
D. McClellan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Polynice 35 4-12 0-0 4-8 4 7 1 0 2 12 10 -
C. Warren 32 7-13 5-9 4-4 2 2 0 0 0 23 14 -
M. Holloway 30 6-9 0-0 0-2 10 0 3 0 2 12 14 -
T. White 28 6-11 2-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 14 5 -
D. Cranston 21 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
Z. Graham 18 3-7 1-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 7 7 -
T. Henry 15 1-6 0-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 2 0 -
R. Buckner 13 2-2 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 0 1 4 6 -
T. Gaskins 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -

* = starter