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2010-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 35.1% 64.9% -
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% -
Margin 19.8% 80.2% +7.7 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 33.1% 66.9% -
Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% -
Log Adjusted 12.9% 87.1% -

Actual: Florida Gators +8 (78-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Reed 36 7-12 0-3 8-9 4 6 2 0 5 22 17 -
T. Waller 32 5-13 3-10 0-0 7 2 0 1 1 13 9 -
L. Hargrove 31 0-3 0-1 2-2 4 2 1 2 2 2 6 -
F. Sullivan 31 2-11 1-9 2-2 1 0 2 0 2 7 -3 -
B. Knox 20 4-5 0-0 2-5 2 0 0 2 1 10 8 -
T. Armstrong 16 1-1 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 0 0 5 9 -
E. Ross 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
T. Neysmith 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Lett 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
J. Wallace 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
K. Gabriel 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Malone 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
L. Williams 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Parsons 36 6-11 1-3 4-5 6 4 0 0 1 17 15 -
E. Walker 34 0-6 0-2 14-16 2 6 1 0 1 14 16 -
A. Tyus 32 6-13 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 12 4 -
K. Boynton 31 2-7 1-4 5-7 1 3 2 0 2 10 7 -
D. Werner 25 3-5 0-1 3-4 4 2 2 1 2 9 11 -
V. Macklin 17 2-4 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 1 0 7 8 -
E. Murphy 13 3-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 7 8 -
R. Shipman 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter