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2010-02-16

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Seattle U Redhawks Spread Result
Elo 43.3% 56.7% -
Bradley-Terry 49.5% 50.5% -
Margin 44.1% 55.9% +1.3 (23.7 off)
Efficiency 26.7% 73.3% -

Actual: Seattle U Redhawks +25 (81-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Lowenthal 36 1-5 0-1 4-7 13 0 3 0 0 6 17 -
J. Harden 31 5-15 0-0 5-6 6 1 2 0 4 15 5 -
D. Calegari 30 4-10 2-4 9-10 1 0 3 1 3 19 11 -
R. Howley 24 1-3 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 2 1 2 8 -
J. Welch 21 3-7 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 6 -5 -
R. Sypkens 19 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 0 -1 -
J. Floyd 14 1-4 0-1 0-3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -4 -
J. Ranger 14 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 5 2 -
A. Malik 11 0-3 0-3 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 1 -1 -

Seattle U Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Burrell 28 7-9 0-0 0-2 3 2 2 0 2 14 10 -
C. Gweth 26 0-4 0-1 2-4 5 1 1 0 2 2 3 -
M. Boxley 25 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 3 3 0 2 2 4 -
G. Lever 23 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 0 1 -
A. Broussard 21 5-10 1-4 0-1 3 0 3 0 2 11 5 -
A. Jones 19 9-17 1-3 5-9 9 0 0 0 1 24 15 -
C. Garcia 18 7-10 1-2 2-4 10 1 0 1 3 17 16 -
G. Gilmore 17 3-5 0-0 0-1 3 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
P. Harris 12 0-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 1 3 -
T. Olson 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 4 7 -

* = starter