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2010-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 87.3% 12.7% -
Bradley-Terry 69.0% 31.0% -
Margin 73.2% 26.8% -5.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 59.8% 40.2% -
Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.4% 9.6% -
Log Adjusted 90.4% 9.6% -

Actual: Miami Hurricanes -7 (74-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Singler 40 7-16 4-7 4-4 11 4 0 1 2 22 20 -
N. Smith 39 6-14 5-10 4-4 2 2 0 0 4 21 7 -
J. Scheyer 34 3-15 3-10 6-7 2 6 5 0 3 15 10 -
B. Zoubek 29 4-5 0-0 2-4 5 2 5 0 2 10 15 -
L. Thomas 26 1-3 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
M. Plumlee 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 4 3 -
A. Dawkins 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
M. Plumlee 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
R. Kelly 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Collins 34 5-6 0-0 11-14 9 2 0 0 5 21 21 -
J. Dews 33 5-11 1-4 5-6 2 3 2 0 3 16 9 -
D. Scott 32 9-13 0-0 1-3 4 4 2 0 4 19 12 -
M. Grant 23 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 -3 -
A. Thomas 22 2-2 2-2 1-2 5 2 0 0 2 7 10 -
G. Adams 21 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 2 0 -
J. Gamble 16 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 4 4 -
D. Jones 11 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 5 3 -
R. Johnson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
C. McGowan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter