Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Delaware State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.1% | 25.9% | -5.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Delaware State Hornets -3 (65-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Thomas | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. Holmes | 31 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| T. Smith | 31 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| D. Jackson | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| K. Thompson | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| A. Ali | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Davis | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| G. Johnson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Stokes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Delaware State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Threatt | 37 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| F. Sandidge | 36 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. Wilson | 34 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Neal | 29 | 4-15 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | - |
| M. Oliver | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| G. Smith | 10 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Stowe | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| B. Baylor | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Welcher | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Douse | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter