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2010-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 20.9% 79.1% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 28.9% 71.1% +5.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% -
Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.6% 73.4% -
Log Adjusted 26.7% 73.3% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +2 (91-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Jackson 50 6-11 3-5 4-6 3 7 2 0 5 19 15 -
B. Hansbrough 48 4-14 3-10 10-12 8 3 2 0 3 21 17 -
T. Abromaitis 45 11-18 2-4 5-6 5 0 0 1 1 29 16 -
C. Scott 34 2-5 1-2 4-4 6 1 1 3 1 9 14 -
T. Nash 28 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 1 2 4 6 -
J. Cooley 19 1-1 0-0 0-1 5 0 2 1 1 2 8 -
J. Peoples 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
M. Broghammer 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 2 2 -
J. Brooks 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Samuels 45 10-19 0-0 16-19 6 2 0 2 6 36 21 -
J. Swopshire 38 3-8 1-3 5-5 9 1 0 3 1 12 16 -
E. Sosa 35 3-11 1-2 5-5 3 4 0 0 1 12 7 -
J. Smith 29 1-3 1-1 2-2 2 1 2 2 0 5 9 -
R. Delk 22 1-3 1-3 1-1 0 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
P. Knowles 21 2-4 2-4 3-4 4 1 1 0 1 9 10 -
P. Siva 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 3 -
M. Marra 18 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
R. Buckles 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 4 4 -
K. Kuric 8 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
T. Jennings 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter