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2010-02-17

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 84.0% 16.0% -
Bradley-Terry 59.1% 40.9% -
Margin 64.7% 35.3% -3.3 (18.7 off)
Pythagorean 64.1% 35.9% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 92.6% 7.4% -
Log Adjusted 92.8% 7.2% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams -22 (70-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fredette 36 12-22 6-10 6-7 5 6 1 0 6 36 20 -
N. Hartsock 32 3-4 0-0 6-6 12 2 0 2 1 12 23 -
J. Tavernari 29 3-10 3-6 4-4 2 1 4 0 1 13 9 -
C. Miles 23 4-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 8 7 -
J. Emery 22 6-10 2-3 2-3 4 1 1 0 2 16 10 -
T. Haws 16 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
C. Abouo 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 3 10 -
M. Loyd Jr. 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
B. Davies 6 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Magnusson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Anderson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
B. Zylstra 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Green 38 2-6 2-5 4-4 2 1 2 0 1 10 8 -
T. Franklin 29 3-9 0-0 8-14 7 5 0 0 2 14 15 -
A. Ogide 26 5-10 0-0 3-5 6 2 2 1 1 13 13 -
G. Smith 25 4-9 0-1 3-3 3 2 1 1 3 11 6 -
T. Busch 20 4-7 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 1 2 10 4 -
A. Nigon 20 2-6 2-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 6 1 -
P. Hornung 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 0 5 -
M. Bocar Ba 11 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
H. Perry 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. McFarland 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Delbene 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Dunn 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Annese 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter