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2010-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 79.2% 20.8% -
Bradley-Terry 62.4% 37.6% -
Margin 66.9% 33.1% -3.9 (21.9 off)
Pythagorean 23.2% 76.8% -
Efficiency 3.1% 96.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +18 (70-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Young 30 5-10 2-5 1-2 4 2 3 0 1 13 11 -
J. Carter 28 3-7 0-2 5-6 7 4 0 0 2 11 13 -
K. Lawson Jr. 25 4-7 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 4 10 3 -
C. Harriman 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Ashford 18 1-4 1-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 3 4 -
E. Wragge 17 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 6 2 -
J. Jones 14 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -2 -
C. Witter 12 0-3 0-3 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
W. Runnels 12 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -
K. Korver 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Millard 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Bock 6 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 4 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Farokhmanesh 32 5-10 5-10 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 17 7 -
K. Ahelegbe 28 2-8 0-2 2-3 5 4 0 0 2 6 5 -
J. Moran 28 6-10 3-7 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 17 9 -
A. Koch 26 1-2 0-1 7-9 7 1 2 0 1 9 16 -
L. O'Rear 21 1-7 0-1 2-5 5 1 1 0 1 4 3 -
J. Koch 21 1-1 1-1 2-2 5 1 1 3 1 5 13 -
K. Dunham 16 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
A. Rodenberg 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Sonnen 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
A. James 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter