Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✗ (19.0 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers -18 (56-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Needham | 39 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 7 | - |
| M. Evanovich | 29 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| A. Johnson | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| S. Crawford | 26 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Nickerson | 25 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| J. Turner | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| R. Olander | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| L. Jordan | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Johnson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Martin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Grzeck | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Crawford | 38 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| B. Adams | 29 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Pearson | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Pickett | 24 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 5 | - |
| G. Beamon | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| L. Jolicoeur | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| P. Bouli | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Walsh | 11 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| A. Gabriel | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| D. Coulibaly | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Laue | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter