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2010-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 70.0% 30.0% -
Bradley-Terry 45.9% 54.1% -
Margin 40.7% 59.3% +2.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 76.0% 24.0% -
Efficiency 93.2% 6.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.5% 15.5% -
Log Adjusted 84.6% 15.4% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -2 (78-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Douglass 42 3-6 3-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 9 4 -
Z. Novak 41 3-5 3-5 0-0 4 5 1 0 0 9 14 -
M. Harris 41 7-17 4-7 2-4 10 7 2 0 6 20 16 -
D. Sims 39 10-25 1-2 6-8 10 0 1 1 1 27 13 -
D. Morris 26 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Lucas-Perry 23 3-5 3-5 4-4 5 2 0 0 0 13 15 -
Z. Gibson 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 3 0 2 5 -
M. Vogrich 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gatens 45 8-13 5-7 0-0 8 4 1 0 2 21 19 -
E. May 43 3-9 1-5 1-1 4 1 2 1 3 8 4 -
C. Payne 43 4-15 4-9 1-2 4 7 0 0 1 13 8 -
A. Fuller 42 11-13 0-0 8-11 13 0 0 0 4 30 26 -
J. Cole 29 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
A. Brommer 14 0-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 1 0 2 2 -
D. Bawinkel 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Lickliter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter