Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.1% | 48.9% | -0.2 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -14 (58-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 31 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| D. Roe | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| R. Morgan | 24 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Allen | 24 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| K. Lucious | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Green | 19 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| D. Summers | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| G. Sherman | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D. Nix | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Kebler | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Thornton | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Herzog | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Crandell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Jones III | 35 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 11-12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| C. Watford | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Hulls | 30 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| J. Rivers | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Pritchard | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Dumes | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| B. Capobianco | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Elston | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Moore | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Jobe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter