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2010-02-15

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Villanova Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 16.0% 84.0% +10.4 โœ— (19.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 20.3% 79.7% - โœ—
Margin 19.4% 80.6% +7.8 โœ— (16.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 28.3% 71.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 28.3% 71.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 33.3% 66.7% - โœ—

Actual: Villanova Wildcats -9 (75-84). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerome Dyson * 39 3-14 0-1 9-14 5 6 1 1 3 15 11 -
Kemba Walker * 39 6-10 3-7 14-16 9 3 2 0 2 29 31 -
S. Robinson * 32 5-9 0-1 0-0 7 2 0 2 7 10 5 -
C. Okwandu * 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
A. Majok * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Alex Oriakhi 25 3-5 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 3 0 10 12 -
G. Edwards 22 2-2 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 2 2 7 13 -
Jamal Coombs-McDaniel 15 2-4 2-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 8 8 -
D. Beverly 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Reynolds * 37 8-14 2-7 0-0 2 2 3 1 0 18 12 -
Reggie Redding * 28 3-8 1-3 2-3 2 3 3 0 2 9 7 -
Corey Fisher * 28 5-12 2-3 2-2 0 4 1 0 3 14 4 -
A. Pena * 18 3-7 0-0 4-4 3 0 2 0 1 10 7 -
C. Stokes * 14 1-4 1-2 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
Isaiah Armwood 18 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
T. King 15 0-6 0-6 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Dominic Cheek 13 1-6 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
Mouphtaou Yarou 13 3-4 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 3 0 6 10 -
Maurice Sutton 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 1 0 2 6 -
Maalik Wayns 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 2 1 -

* = starter