Model Predictions
| Model | UCLA Bruins | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.5% | 45.5% | -1.0 | ✗ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: USC Trojans +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lee | 37 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | - |
| M. Roll | 34 | 7-16 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| N. Dragovic | 34 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| R. Nelson | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Honeycutt | 26 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Lane | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Anderson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Abdul-Hamid | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Moser | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Morgan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson | 38 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -2 | - |
| D. Lewis | 32 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| N. Vucevic | 31 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| L. Washington | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| M. Gerrity | 28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Smith | 19 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| M. Simmons | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter