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2010-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Eastern Washington Eagles Spread Result
Elo 47.4% 52.6% -
Bradley-Terry 54.1% 45.9% -
Margin 51.2% 48.8% -0.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 72.4% 27.6% -
Efficiency 75.0% 25.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.3% 11.7% -
Log Adjusted 88.5% 11.5% -

Actual: Eastern Washington Eagles +1 (69-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 39 11-16 4-7 2-2 3 2 0 1 2 28 16 -
B. Qvale 31 3-8 0-0 2-5 7 0 2 3 0 8 12 -
R. Staudacher 30 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
W. Cherry 25 2-6 0-1 1-2 0 2 3 0 2 5 2 -
D. Selvig 22 2-7 1-4 2-2 7 2 0 0 3 7 6 -
M. Taylor 17 4-5 3-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 11 8 -
V. Banny 16 2-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 2 5 5 -
R. Young 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Ward 6 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
J. McGillis 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Stockton 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Forbes 40 6-13 5-7 1-2 5 0 1 0 1 18 10 -
G. Dean 39 7-9 4-5 5-8 3 7 1 0 6 23 19 -
M. Dunn 31 5-9 2-4 1-4 3 0 0 0 0 13 7 -
K. Winford 31 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 5 -3 -
L. Griffin 23 3-3 0-0 2-3 6 0 1 1 1 8 12 -
B. Moore 17 0-5 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 2 0 2 6 -
B. Valentine 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 0 3 -
M. Brunell 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -

* = starter