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2010-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 46.2% 53.8% -
Bradley-Terry 49.1% 50.9% -
Margin 47.8% 52.2% +0.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% -
Efficiency 8.8% 91.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.5% 67.5% -
Log Adjusted 32.6% 67.4% -

Actual: Syracuse Orange -6 (60-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Sosa 34 5-12 2-8 0-1 2 5 1 0 2 12 6 -
J. Smith 30 0-3 0-2 2-4 5 1 1 0 0 2 6 -
M. Marra 29 4-12 4-12 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 12 5 -
S. Samuels 29 3-7 0-0 2-4 6 4 0 1 1 8 11 -
R. Buckles 20 3-4 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 1 3 8 8 -
P. Knowles 18 3-7 2-5 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 10 7 -
J. Swopshire 17 4-6 1-1 1-3 5 2 0 0 1 10 10 -
T. Jennings 14 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 2 1 4 5 -
P. Siva 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
K. Kuric 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Johnson 37 5-20 2-7 2-2 8 3 1 1 1 14 6 -
A. Rautins 37 4-8 3-7 1-2 1 3 0 0 2 12 6 -
A. Onuaku 33 6-8 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 2 2 12 13 -
K. Joseph 31 3-7 0-0 4-5 8 3 0 0 2 10 12 -
S. Jardine 26 3-7 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 6 2 -
R. Jackson 19 3-3 0-0 0-2 7 1 0 0 1 6 10 -
B. Triche 14 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Jones 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter