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2010-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 4.9% 95.1% -
Bradley-Terry 24.0% 76.0% -
Margin 8.7% 91.3% +12.9 (24.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% -
Efficiency 22.9% 77.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.1% 64.9% -
Log Adjusted 34.6% 65.4% -

Actual: UConn Huskies -12 (48-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Bishop 32 2-7 0-1 3-4 7 2 1 0 2 7 8 -
D. Vaughn 30 2-8 1-5 5-5 1 4 2 1 2 10 8 -
I. Thomas 29 4-12 1-4 1-6 11 0 1 1 1 10 10 -
L. Stephenson 27 5-10 1-4 3-4 5 1 1 0 4 14 7 -
Y. Gates 25 2-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 5 3 -
S. Toyloy 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 1 0 4 10 -
C. Wright 17 0-3 0-2 2-4 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
D. Dixon 16 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
D. Wilks 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
L. Davis 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dyson 40 5-16 1-7 2-5 6 3 3 0 5 13 4 -
S. Robinson 39 5-11 0-3 0-1 9 1 1 1 2 10 9 -
G. Edwards 36 4-6 0-0 2-4 7 0 2 3 4 10 12 -
K. Walker 26 4-11 2-3 4-6 1 3 2 0 1 14 8 -
C. Okwandu 17 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 0 3 -
A. Oriakhi 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 -
D. Beverly 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 1 1 2 -
A. Majok 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 -
J. Coombs-McDaniel 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
D. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter