Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -3 (84-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hanson | 46 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 7-10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - |
| L. Keeler | 46 | 2-12 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| S. Lewis | 39 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| C. Anderson | 37 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J. Lewis | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| W. Taylor | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| R. Darling | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Odister | 10 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Austin | 50 | 11-24 | 3-8 | 14-18 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 25 | - |
| B. Dowdy | 36 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| L. McMullan | 35 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| B. Hampton | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Gurganious | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Gordon | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Diggs | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Veteto | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| N. Brooks | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Chavarria | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter