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2010-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs UC Riverside Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 31.2% 68.8% -
Bradley-Terry 36.9% 63.1% -
Margin 31.5% 68.5% +4.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 62.4% 37.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% -
Log Adjusted 66.8% 33.2% -

Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -3 (84-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hanson 46 8-14 3-6 7-10 8 2 0 0 1 26 21 -
L. Keeler 46 2-12 2-6 2-5 3 5 0 0 3 8 1 -
S. Lewis 39 5-12 1-3 7-7 7 5 1 1 3 18 17 -
C. Anderson 37 4-4 4-4 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 13 12 -
J. Lewis 33 1-6 0-2 0-0 1 3 1 2 0 2 3 -
W. Taylor 21 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 3 0 0 5 10 -
R. Darling 18 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
K. Odister 10 3-4 3-4 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 11 6 -

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Austin 50 11-24 3-8 14-18 9 1 0 0 0 39 25 -
B. Dowdy 36 3-12 2-8 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 9 2 -
L. McMullan 35 4-11 2-6 5-5 4 8 1 0 3 15 14 -
B. Hampton 30 2-4 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 1 3 4 3 -
L. Gurganious 27 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 1 2 8 -
S. Cunningham 22 0-1 0-1 6-6 3 2 2 1 4 6 9 -
D. Gordon 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Diggs 12 1-2 1-1 1-1 0 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
K. Veteto 9 1-1 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 1 3 6 -
N. Brooks 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 1 -
D. Chavarria 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter