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2010-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 4.1% 95.9% -
Bradley-Terry 28.0% 72.0% -
Margin 23.9% 76.1% +6.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 58.0% 42.0% -
Efficiency 70.1% 29.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.4% 49.6% -
Log Adjusted 51.1% 48.9% -

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +8 (62-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Thompson 36 4-11 3-7 1-3 6 2 0 1 1 12 9 -
T. Darby 34 1-5 0-0 3-5 6 0 1 1 2 5 6 -
K. Bell 34 7-16 3-7 8-11 5 0 1 0 4 25 11 -
J. Dupre' 30 3-6 0-1 3-4 7 1 1 0 1 9 11 -
L. Jackson 21 0-7 0-6 3-4 1 2 2 0 2 3 -1 -
C. Moore 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
C. Willis 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
J. Lowery 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Suttle Jr. 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Kerry 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Smith 36 3-11 0-4 6-9 2 2 3 0 5 12 3 -
M. Santos 28 2-3 0-0 4-5 5 3 2 1 2 8 14 -
B. Dowdell 28 1-4 0-0 0-2 5 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
T. Payne 27 1-2 0-1 0-2 8 1 1 0 3 2 7 -
M. Trasolini 26 6-8 0-1 4-7 8 0 0 1 1 16 16 -
R. Cowels III 24 4-9 3-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 11 6 -
N. Harrison 21 4-6 0-0 3-6 4 0 1 0 3 11 7 -
C. Cunningham 5 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
T. Alexander 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
P. Bach 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter