Model Predictions
| Model | Albany Great Danes | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.2% | 38.8% | -2.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers -13 (62-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Albany Great Danes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Black | 32 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| S. McRae | 30 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 22 | - |
| T. Ambrose | 25 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 23 | - |
| W. Harris | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Aronhalt | 24 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -3 | - |
| B. Gifford | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Metcalf | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| D. Tartt | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| F. Urli | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B. Allen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gilliam | 36 | 5-18 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| C. De La Rosa | 33 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 6 | - |
| A. Satchell | 30 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| R. Jackson | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. Spadafora | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Grant | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Wasco | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| B. Neller | 10 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| N. Groce | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter