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2010-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 67.3% 32.7% -
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% -
Margin 35.2% 64.8% +3.4 (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.2% 92.8% -
Log Adjusted 7.1% 92.9% -

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +17 (68-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Higgins 38 6-15 3-4 6-6 4 1 4 0 6 21 9 -
A. Burks 34 7-16 0-1 3-4 6 1 2 0 2 17 8 -
N. Tomlinson 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 4 0 -1 -
C. Crawford 26 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 4 3 -
D. Thorne II 23 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 4 1 -
A. Dufault 20 1-4 0-1 1-4 3 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
L. Knutson 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -
T. Eckloff 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pullen 31 5-10 1-5 4-6 1 10 1 0 2 15 15 -
D. Sutton 29 3-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 3 1 3 6 6 -
C. Kelly 29 5-7 0-0 2-4 11 0 3 3 3 12 19 -
D. Clemente 27 4-14 2-9 0-0 2 5 2 0 2 10 3 -
J. Samuels 22 4-5 0-0 4-7 5 0 0 0 2 12 10 -
M. Irving 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
L. Colon 18 3-5 0-0 3-7 6 0 0 0 1 9 9 -
R. McGruder 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
W. Judge 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 3 1 -1 -
J. Henriquez 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Russell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
V. Ojeleye 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter