Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.7% | 35.3% | -3.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix -5 (72-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wells | 38 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Z. Urbanus | 38 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| H. DuPont | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| B. Streeter | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Dahn | 25 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| C. Morabbi | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Wolfinger | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Holston | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Eykyn | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Cherry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Spradlin | 33 | 7-18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 4 | - |
| A. Constantine | 31 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 30 | - |
| C. Long | 31 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T.J. Douglas | 30 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Birdette | 26 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Carter | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Ervin | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Bonney | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Grable | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Ogolo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter