Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.9% | 73.1% | +5.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +10 (85-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hargrove | 40 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| T. Waller | 37 | 8-15 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| F. Sullivan | 36 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Reed | 35 | 5-21 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | -3 | - |
| B. Knox | 32 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Lett | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| J. Wallace | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Ross | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Malone | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Gabriel | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stewart | 41 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. Varnado | 40 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| D. Bost | 40 | 11-19 | 7-12 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 26 | - |
| P. Turner | 28 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| R. Osby | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| R. Johnson | 21 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| K. Augustus | 21 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| R. Benock | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| W. Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter