Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.9% | 71.1% | +4.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals +2 (73-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Johannsen | 41 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| C. Jones | 40 | 6-19 | 2-7 | 8-12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 6 | - |
| N. Larson | 36 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 18 | - |
| G. Rogers | 32 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| J. Olubuyi | 32 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Jones | 28 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | - |
| S. Saldivar | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Lepley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Wallace | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Gilchrest | 43 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 7-13 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 10 | - |
| A. Morgan | 35 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| D. Monroe | 34 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| A. Kilpatrick | 27 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| M. Lacey | 25 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Baldwin | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C. Tatum | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| R. Little | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Carson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter