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2010-02-13

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies UC Irvine Anteaters Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% -
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% -
Margin 34.7% 65.3% +3.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 56.3% 43.7% -
Efficiency 82.8% 17.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.5% 28.5% -
Log Adjusted 72.1% 27.9% -

Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Harden 37 3-10 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 0 2 6 5 -
T. Lowenthal 35 4-7 3-3 2-2 6 5 0 0 2 13 15 -
D. Calegari 30 3-10 3-7 4-5 4 4 0 3 4 13 10 -
R. Sypkens 26 4-8 3-7 1-2 2 3 0 0 0 12 9 -
R. Howley 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 0 4 -
J. Welch 16 5-9 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 12 5 -
J. Floyd 15 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 1 0 2 3 -
A. Malik 15 3-5 3-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
J. Ranger 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Moore 40 5-10 4-6 7-8 9 4 0 1 3 21 22 -
M. Hunter 35 5-12 3-8 6-7 6 1 2 0 1 19 15 -
P. Rembert 32 2-7 1-2 4-4 2 5 0 0 1 9 8 -
E. Wise 27 1-5 0-0 1-4 4 3 0 0 3 3 2 -
A. Folker 20 3-4 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 1 1 6 9 -
E. Kim 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Atkinson 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
D. Flowers 8 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
D. Strings 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
P. Losonsky 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter